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        <title>BMC Public Health - Latest Articles</title>
        <link>http://www.biomedcentral.com/bmcpublichealth/</link>
        <description>The latest research articles published by BMC Public Health</description>
        <dc:date>2009-11-24T00:00:00Z</dc:date>
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                                <rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/431" />
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                                <rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/429" />
                                <rdf:li rdf:resource="http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/428" />
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        <item rdf:about="http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/431">
        <title>Men and women: beliefs about cancer and about screening</title>
        <description>Background:
Cancer screening programmes in England are publicly-funded.  Professionals&apos; beliefs in the public health benefits of screening can conflict with individuals&apos; entitlements to exercise informed judgement over whether or not to participate.  The recognition of the importance of individual autonomy in decision making requires greater understanding of the knowledge, attitudes and beliefs upon which people&apos;s screening choices are founded.  Until recently, the technology available required that cancer screening be confined to women.  This study aimed to discover whether male and female perceptions of cancer and of screening differ.
Methods:
Data on the public&apos;s cancer beliefs were collected by means of a postal survey (anonymous questionnaire).  Two general practices based in Nottingham and in Mansfield, in east-central England, sent questionnaires to registered patients aged 30 to 70 years.  1,808 completed questionnaires were returned for analysis, 56.5 per cent from women.
Results:
Women were less likely to underestimate overall cancer incidence, although each sex was more likely to cite a sex-specific cancer as being amongst the most common cancer site.  In terms of risk factors, men were most uncertain about the role of stress and sexually-transmitted diseases, whereas women were more likely to rate excessive alcohol and family history as major risk factors.  The majority of respondents believed the public health care system should provide cancer screening, but significantly more women than men reported having benefiting from the nationally-provided screening services.  Those who were older, in better health or had longer periods of formal education were less worried about cancer than those who had illness experiences, lower incomes, or who were smokers.  Actual or potential participation in bowel screening was higher amongst those who believed bowel cancer to be common and amongst men, despite women having more substantial worries about cancer than men.
Conclusions:
Our results suggest that men&apos;s and women&apos;s differential knowledge of cancer correlates with women&apos;s closer involvement with screening.  Even so, men were neither less positive about screening nor less likely to express a willingness to participate in relevant screening in the future.  It is important to understand gender-related differences in knowledge and perceptions of cancer, if health promotion resources are to be allocated efficiently.</description>
        <link>http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/431</link>
                <dc:creator>Tracey Sach</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>David Whynes</dc:creator>
                <dc:source>BMC Public Health 2009, 9:431</dc:source>
        <dc:date>2009-11-24T00:00:00Z</dc:date>
        <dc:identifier>doi:10.1186/1471-2458-9-431</dc:identifier>
        <prism:publicationName>BMC Public Health</prism:publicationName>
        <prism:issn>1471-2458</prism:issn>
        <prism:volume>9</prism:volume>
        <prism:startingPage>431</prism:startingPage>
        <prism:publicationDate>2009-11-24T00:00:00Z</prism:publicationDate>
                <prism:versionidentifier>PDF</prism:versionidentifier>
                <cc:license rdf:resource="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/" />
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        <item rdf:about="http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/430">
        <title>Changes in child exposure to secondhand smoke after implementation of smoke-free legislation in Wales: a repeated cross-sectional study</title>
        <description>Background:
Smoke-free legislation was introduced in Wales in April 2007. In response to concerns regarding potential displacement of smoking into the home following legislation, this study assessed changes in secondhand smoke (SHS) exposure amongst non-smoking children.
Methods:
Approximately 1,750 year 6 (aged 10-11) children from 75 Welsh primary schools were included in cross-sectional surveys immediately pre-legislation and one year later. Participants completed self-report questionnaires and provided saliva samples for cotinine assay. Regression analyses assessed the impact of legislation on children&apos;s SHS exposure at the population level, and amongst subgroups defined by parental figures who smoke within the home.
Results:
Geometric mean salivary cotinine concentrations were 0.17ng/ml (95% CI 0.15,0.20) pre-legislation and 0.15ng/ml (95% CI 0.13,0.17), post-legislation, although this change was not statistically significant. Significant movement was however observed from the middle (0.10-0.50ng/ml) to lower tertile, though not from the higher end (&gt;0.51ng/ml) to the middle.Reported exposure to SHS was greatest within the home. Home-based exposure did not change significantly post-legislation. Reported exposure in cafes or restaurants, buses and trains, and indoor leisure facilities fell significantly.The proportion of children reporting that parent figures smoked in the home declined (P=0.03), with children with no parent figures who smoke in the home significantly more likely to provide saliva with cotinine concentrations of &lt;0.1ng/ml post-legislation.Amongst children with no parent figures who smoke in the home, the likelihood of &apos;not knowing&apos; or &apos;never&apos; being in a place where people were smoking increased post-legislation.
Conclusions:
Smoke-free legislation in Wales did not increase SHS exposure in homes of children aged 10-11. Reported SHS exposure in public places fell significantly. The home remained the main source of children&apos;s SHS exposure. The legislation was associated with an unexpected reduction in cotinine levels among children with lower SHS exposure pre-legislation. The findings indicate positive rather than harmful effects of legislation on children&apos;s SHS exposure, but highlight the need for further action to protect those children most exposed to SHS.</description>
        <link>http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/430</link>
                <dc:creator>Jo Holliday</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Graham Moore</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Laurence Moore</dc:creator>
                <dc:source>BMC Public Health 2009, 9:430</dc:source>
        <dc:date>2009-11-24T00:00:00Z</dc:date>
        <dc:identifier>doi:10.1186/1471-2458-9-430</dc:identifier>
        <prism:publicationName>BMC Public Health</prism:publicationName>
        <prism:issn>1471-2458</prism:issn>
        <prism:volume>9</prism:volume>
        <prism:startingPage>430</prism:startingPage>
        <prism:publicationDate>2009-11-24T00:00:00Z</prism:publicationDate>
                <prism:versionidentifier>PDF</prism:versionidentifier>
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        <title>Assessing knowledge of human papillomavirus and collecting data on sexual behavior: computer assisted telephone versus face to face interviews</title>
        <description>Background:
Education campaigns seeking to raise awareness of human papillomavirus (HPV) and promoting HPV vaccination depend on accurate surveys of public awareness and knowledge of HPV and related sexual behavior. However, the most recent population-based studies have relied largely on computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI) as opposed to face to face interviews (FTFI). It is currently unknown how these survey modes differ, and in particular whether they attract similar demographics and therefore lead to similar overall findings.
Methods:
A comprehensive survey of HPV awareness and knowledge, including sexual behavior, was conducted among 3,045 Singaporean men and women, half of whom participated via CATI, the other half via FTFI.
Results:
Overall levels of awareness and knowledge of HPV differed between CATI and FTFI, attributable in part to demographic variations between these survey modes. Although disclosure of sexual behavior was greater when using CATI, few differences between survey modes were found in the actual information disclosed.
Conclusions:
Although CATI is a cheaper, faster alternative to FTFI and people appear more willing to provide information about sexual behavior when surveyed using CATI, thorough assessments of HPV awareness and knowledge depend on multiple survey modes.</description>
        <link>http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/429</link>
                <dc:creator>Anthony Smith</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Anthony Lyons</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Marian Pitts</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Samantha Croy</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Richard Ryall</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Suzanne Garland</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Mee Lian Wong</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Eng Hseon Tay</dc:creator>
                <dc:source>BMC Public Health 2009, 9:429</dc:source>
        <dc:date>2009-11-23T00:00:00Z</dc:date>
        <dc:identifier>doi:10.1186/1471-2458-9-429</dc:identifier>
        <prism:publicationName>BMC Public Health</prism:publicationName>
        <prism:issn>1471-2458</prism:issn>
        <prism:volume>9</prism:volume>
        <prism:startingPage>429</prism:startingPage>
        <prism:publicationDate>2009-11-23T00:00:00Z</prism:publicationDate>
                <prism:versionidentifier>PDF</prism:versionidentifier>
                <cc:license rdf:resource="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/" />
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        <item rdf:about="http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/428">
        <title>Optimizing Suicide Prevention Programs and Their Implementation in Europe (OSPI-Europe): An evidence-based multi-level approach</title>
        <description>Background:
Suicide and non-fatal suicidal behaviour are significant public health issues in Europe requiring effective preventive interventions. However, the evidence for effective preventive strategies is scarce. The protocol of a European research project to develop an optimized evidence based programme for suicide prevention is presented.MethodThe groundwork for this research has been established by a regional community based intervention for suicide prevention that focuses on improving awareness and care for depression performed within the European Alliance Against Depression (EAAD). The EAAD intervention consists of (1) training sessions and practice support for primary care physicians,(2) public relations activities and mass media campaigns, (3) training sessions for community facilitators who serve as gatekeepers for depressed and suicidal persons in the community and treatment  and (4) outreach and support  for high risk and self-help groups (e.g. helplines). The intervention has been shown to be effective in reducing suicidal behaviour in an earlier study, the Nuremberg Alliance Against Depression. In the context of the current research project described in this paper (OSPI-Europe) the EAAD model is enhanced by other evidence based interventions and implemented simultaneously and in standardised way in four regions in Ireland, Portugal, Hungary and Germany.The enhanced intervention will be evaluated using a prospective controlled design with the primary outcomes being composite suicidal acts (fatal and non-fatal), and with intermediate outcomes being the effect of training programs, changes in public attitudes, guideline-consistent media reporting. In addition an analysis of the economic costs and consequences will be undertaken, while a process evaluation will monitor implementation of the interventions within the different regions with varying organisational and healthcare contexts.DiscussionThis multi-centre research seeks to overcome major challenges of field research in suicide prevention. It pools data from four European regions, considerably increasing the study sam-ple, which will be close to one million. In addition, the study will gather important information concerning  the potential to transfer this multilevel program to other health care systems. The results of this research will provide a basis for developing an evidence-based, efficient con-cept for suicide prevention for EU-member states.</description>
        <link>http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/428</link>
                <dc:creator>Ulrich Hegerl</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Lisa Wittenburg</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Ella Arensmann</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Chantal Van Audenhove</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>James Coyne</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>David McDaid</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Christina van der Feltz-Cornelis</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Ricardo Gusmao</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Maria Kopp</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Margret Maxwell</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Ullrich Meise</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Saska Roskar</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Marco Sarchiapone</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Armin Schmidtke</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Airi Varnik</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Anke Bramesfeld</dc:creator>
                <dc:source>BMC Public Health 2009, 9:428</dc:source>
        <dc:date>2009-11-23T00:00:00Z</dc:date>
        <dc:identifier>doi:10.1186/1471-2458-9-428</dc:identifier>
        <prism:publicationName>BMC Public Health</prism:publicationName>
        <prism:issn>1471-2458</prism:issn>
        <prism:volume>9</prism:volume>
        <prism:startingPage>428</prism:startingPage>
        <prism:publicationDate>2009-11-23T00:00:00Z</prism:publicationDate>
                <prism:versionidentifier>PDF</prism:versionidentifier>
                <cc:license rdf:resource="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/" />
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        <item rdf:about="http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/427">
        <title>Evaluating the effectiveness of psychosocial resilience training for heart health, and the added value of promoting physical activity: a cluster randomized trial of the READY program.</title>
        <description>Background:
Depression and poor social support are significant risk factors for coronary heart disease (CHD), and stress and anxiety can trigger coronary events. People experiencing such psychosocial difficulties are more likely to be physically inactive, which is also an independent risk factor for CHD. Resilience training can target these risk factors, but there is little research evaluating the effectiveness of programs. This paper describes the design and measures of a study to evaluate a resilience training program (READY) to promote psychosocial well-being for heart health, and the added value of integrating physical activity promotion.
Methods:
In a cluster randomized trial, 95 participants will be allocated to either a waitlist or one of two intervention conditions. Both intervention conditions will receive a 10x2.5 hour group resilience training program (READY) over 13 weeks. The program targets five protective factors identified from empirical evidence and analyzed as mediating variables: positive emotions, cognitive flexibility, social support, life meaning, and active coping. Resilience enhancement strategies reflect the six core Acceptance and Commitment Therapy processes (values, mindfulness, defusion, acceptance, self-as-context, committed action) and Cognitive Behavior Therapy strategies such as relaxation training and social support building skills. Sessions include psychoeducation, discussions, experiential exercises, and home assignments. One intervention condition will include an additional session and ongoing content promoting physical activity. Measurement will occur at baseline, post intervention, and at eight weeks follow-up, and will include questionnaires, pedometer step logs, and physical and hematological measures. Primary outcome measures will include self-reported indicators of psychosocial well-being and depression. Secondary outcome measures will include self-reported indicators of stress, anxiety and physical activity, and objective indicators of CHD risk (blood glucose, cholesterol, triglycerides, blood pressure). Process measures of attendance, engagement and fidelity will also be conducted. Linear analyses will be used to examine group differences in the outcome measures, and the product of coefficients method will be used to examine mediated effects.DiscussionIf successful, this program will provide an innovative means by which to promote psychosocial well-being for heart health in the general population. The program could also be adapted to promote well-being in other at risk population subgroups.Trial registration ACTRN12608000017325.</description>
        <link>http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/427</link>
                <dc:creator>Nicola Burton</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Kenneth Pakenham</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Wendy Brown</dc:creator>
                <dc:source>BMC Public Health 2009, 9:427</dc:source>
        <dc:date>2009-11-23T00:00:00Z</dc:date>
        <dc:identifier>doi:10.1186/1471-2458-9-427</dc:identifier>
        <prism:publicationName>BMC Public Health</prism:publicationName>
        <prism:issn>1471-2458</prism:issn>
        <prism:volume>9</prism:volume>
        <prism:startingPage>427</prism:startingPage>
        <prism:publicationDate>2009-11-23T00:00:00Z</prism:publicationDate>
                <prism:versionidentifier>PDF</prism:versionidentifier>
                <cc:license rdf:resource="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/" />
    </item>
        <item rdf:about="http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/426">
        <title>Trend of obesity and abdominal obesity in Tehranian adults: a cohort study </title>
        <description>Background:
Considering the increasing trend of obesity reported in current data, this study was conducted to examine trends of obesity and abdominal obesity among Tehranian adults during a median follow-up of 6.6 years.
Methods:
Height and weight of 4402 adults, aged 20 years and over, participants of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS), were measured in 1999-2001(phase I) and again in 2002-2005(phase II) and 2006-2008 (phase III). Criteria used for obesity and abdominal obesity defined body mass index (BMI) [greater than or equal to]30 and waist circumference[greater than or equal to] 94/80 cm for men/women respectively. Subjects were divided into10-year groups and the prevalence of obesity was compared across sex and age groups.
Results:
The prevalence of obesity was 15.8, 18.6 and 21% in men and 31.5, 37.7 and 38.6% in women in phases I, II and III respectively (p&lt;0.001). The prevalence of abdominal obesity in men was 36.5, 57.2 and 63.3% and in women was 76.7, 83.8 and 83.6% in the three periods mentioned (p&lt;0.001). Men aged between20-29 years had highest rate of increased obesity (23.8%) and abdominal obesity (88.3%). In both sexes, an increased trend was observed between phases I and II, whereas between phases II and III, this trend was observed in men, but not in women.
Conclusion:
This study demonstrates alarming rises in the prevalences of both obesity and abdominal obesity in both sexes especially in young men, calling for urgent action to educate people in lifestyle modifications.</description>
        <link>http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/426</link>
                <dc:creator>Farhad Hosseinpanah</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Maryam Barzin</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Parvin Sarbakhsh Eskandary</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Parvin Mirmiran</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Fereidoun Azizi</dc:creator>
                <dc:source>BMC Public Health 2009, 9:426</dc:source>
        <dc:date>2009-11-23T00:00:00Z</dc:date>
        <dc:identifier>doi:10.1186/1471-2458-9-426</dc:identifier>
        <prism:publicationName>BMC Public Health</prism:publicationName>
        <prism:issn>1471-2458</prism:issn>
        <prism:volume>9</prism:volume>
        <prism:startingPage>426</prism:startingPage>
        <prism:publicationDate>2009-11-23T00:00:00Z</prism:publicationDate>
                <prism:versionidentifier>PDF</prism:versionidentifier>
                <cc:license rdf:resource="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/" />
    </item>
        <item rdf:about="http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/425">
        <title>Non-response bias in physical activity trend estimates</title>
        <description>Background:
Increases in reported leisure time physical activity (PA) and obesity have been observed in several countries. One hypothesis for these apparently contradictory trends is differential bias in estimates over time. The purpose of this short report is to examine the potential impact of changes in response rates over time on the prevalence of adequate PA in Canadian adults.
Methods:
Participants were recruited in representative national telephone surveys of PA from 1995-2007. Differences in PA prevalence estimates between participants and those hard to reach were assessed using Student&apos;s t tests adjusted for multiple comparisons.
Results:
The number of telephone calls required to reach and speak with someone in the household increased over time, as did the percentage of selected participants who initially refused during the first interview attempt. A higher prevalence of adequate PA was observed with 5-9 attempts to reach anyone in the household in 1999-2002, but this was not significant after adjustment for multiple comparisons.
Conclusions:
No significant impact on PA trend estimates was observed due to differential non response rates. It is important for health policy makers to understand potential biases and how these may affect secular trends in all aspects of the energy balance equation.</description>
        <link>http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/425</link>
                <dc:creator>Cora Craig</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Christine Cameron</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Joe Griffiths</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Adrian Bauman</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Catrine Tudor-Locke</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Ross Andersen</dc:creator>
                <dc:source>BMC Public Health 2009, 9:425</dc:source>
        <dc:date>2009-11-22T00:00:00Z</dc:date>
        <dc:identifier>doi:10.1186/1471-2458-9-425</dc:identifier>
        <prism:publicationName>BMC Public Health</prism:publicationName>
        <prism:issn>1471-2458</prism:issn>
        <prism:volume>9</prism:volume>
        <prism:startingPage>425</prism:startingPage>
        <prism:publicationDate>2009-11-22T00:00:00Z</prism:publicationDate>
                <prism:versionidentifier>PDF</prism:versionidentifier>
                <cc:license rdf:resource="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/" />
    </item>
        <item rdf:about="http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/424">
        <title>Participant recruitment and retention in a pilot program to prevent weight gain in low-income overweight and obese mothers</title>
        <description>Background  Recruitment and retention are key functions for programs promoting nutrition and other lifestyle behavioral changes in low-income populations.  This paper describes strategies for recruitment and retention and presents predictors of early (two-month post intervention) and late (eight-month post intervention) dropout (non retention) and overall retention among young, low-income overweight and obese mothers participating in a community-based randomized pilot trial called Mothers In Motion.Methods  Low-income overweight and obese African American and white mothers ages 18 to 34 were recruited from the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children in southern Michigan.  Participants (n = 129) were randomly assigned to an intervention (n = 64) or control (n = 65) group according to a stratification procedure to equalize representation in two racial groups (African American and white) and three body mass index categories (25.0-29.9 kg/m2, 30.0-34.9 kg/m2, and 35.0-39.9 kg/m2).  The 10-week theory-based culturally sensitive intervention focused on healthy eating, physical activity, and stress management messages that were delivered via an interactive DVD and reinforced by five peer-support group teleconferences.  Forward stepwise multiple logistic regression was performed to examine whether dietary fat, fruit and vegetable intake behaviors, physical activity, perceived stress, positive and negative affect, depression, and race predicted dropout as data were collected two- month and eight-month after the active intervention phase.Results  Trained personnel were successful in recruiting subjects.  Increased level of depression was a predictor of early dropout (odds ratio = 1.04; 95% CI = 1.00, 1.08; p = 0.03).  Greater stress predicted late dropout (odds ratio = 0.20; 95% CI = 0.00, 0.37; p = 0.01).  Dietary fat, fruit, and vegetable intake behaviors, physical activity, positive and negative affect, and race were not associated with either early or late dropout.  Less negative affect was a marginal predictor of participant retention (odds ratio = 0.57; 95% CI = 0.31, 1.03; p = 0.06).
Conclusions:
Dropout rates in this study were higher for participants who reported higher levels of depression and stress.Trial registration: Current Controlled Trials NCT00944060</description>
        <link>http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/424</link>
                <dc:creator>Mei-Wei Chang</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Roger Brown</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Susan Nitzke</dc:creator>
                <dc:source>BMC Public Health 2009, 9:424</dc:source>
        <dc:date>2009-11-21T00:00:00Z</dc:date>
        <dc:identifier>doi:10.1186/1471-2458-9-424</dc:identifier>
        <prism:publicationName>BMC Public Health</prism:publicationName>
        <prism:issn>1471-2458</prism:issn>
        <prism:volume>9</prism:volume>
        <prism:startingPage>424</prism:startingPage>
        <prism:publicationDate>2009-11-21T00:00:00Z</prism:publicationDate>
                <prism:versionidentifier>PDF</prism:versionidentifier>
                <cc:license rdf:resource="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/" />
    </item>
        <item rdf:about="http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/423">
        <title>How do healthcare consumers process and evaluate comparative healthcare information? A qualitative study using cognitive interviews. </title>
        <description>Background:
To date, online public healthcare reports have not been effectively used by consumers. Therefore, we qualitatively examined how healthcare consumers process and evaluate comparative healthcare information on the Internet.
Methods:
Using semi-structured cognitive interviews, interviewees (n=20) were asked to think aloud and answer questions, as they were prompted with three Dutch web pages providing comparative healthcare information.
Results:
We identified twelve themes from consumers&apos; thoughts and evaluations. These themes were categorized under four important areas of interest: (1) a response to the design; (2) a response to the information content; (3) the use of the information, and (4) the purpose of the information.
Conclusions:
Several barriers to an effective use of comparative healthcare information were identified, such as too much information and the ambiguity of terms presented on websites.  Particularly important for future research is the question of how comparative healthcare information can be integrated with alternative information, such as patient reviews on the Internet. Furthermore, the readability of quality of care concepts is an issue that needs further attention, both from websites and communication experts.</description>
        <link>http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/423</link>
                <dc:creator>Olga Damman</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Michelle Hendriks</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Jany Rademakers</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Diana Delnoij</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Peter Groenewegen</dc:creator>
                <dc:source>BMC Public Health 2009, 9:423</dc:source>
        <dc:date>2009-11-20T00:00:00Z</dc:date>
        <dc:identifier>doi:10.1186/1471-2458-9-423</dc:identifier>
        <prism:publicationName>BMC Public Health</prism:publicationName>
        <prism:issn>1471-2458</prism:issn>
        <prism:volume>9</prism:volume>
        <prism:startingPage>423</prism:startingPage>
        <prism:publicationDate>2009-11-20T00:00:00Z</prism:publicationDate>
                <prism:versionidentifier>PDF</prism:versionidentifier>
                <cc:license rdf:resource="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/" />
    </item>
        <item rdf:about="http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/422">
        <title>Effects of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation on dengue epidemics in Thailand, 1996-2005</title>
        <description>Background:
Despite intensive vector control efforts, dengue epidemics continue to occur throughout Southeast Asia in multi-annual cycles. Weather is considered an important factor in these cycles, but the extent to which the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a driving force behind dengue epidemics remains unclear.
Methods:
We examined the temporal relationship between El Nino and the occurrence of dengue epidemics, and constructed Poisson autoregressive models for incidences of dengue cases. Global ENSO records, dengue surveillance data, and local meteorological data in two geographically diverse regions in Thailand (the tropical southern coastal region and the northern inland mountainous region) were analyzed.
Results:
The strength of El Nino was consistently a predictor for the occurrence of dengue epidemics throughout time lags from 1 to 11 months in the two selected regions of Thailand. Up to 22% (in 8 northern inland mountainous provinces) and 15% (in 5 southern tropical coastal provinces) of the variation in the monthly incidence of dengue cases were attributable to global ENSO cycles. Province-level predictive models were fitted using 1996-2004 data and validated with out-of-fit data from 2005. The multivariate ENSO index was an independent predictor in 10 of the 13 studied provinces.
Conclusions:
El Nino is one of the important driving forces for dengue epidemics across the geographically diverse regions of Thailand; however, spatial heterogeneity in the effect exists. The effects of El Nino should be taken into account in future epidemic forecasting for public health preparedness.</description>
        <link>http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/9/422</link>
                <dc:creator>Mathuros Tipayamongkholgul</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Chi-Tai Fang</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Suratsawadee Klinchan</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Chung-Ming Liu</dc:creator>
                <dc:creator>Chwan-Chuen King</dc:creator>
                <dc:source>BMC Public Health 2009, 9:422</dc:source>
        <dc:date>2009-11-20T00:00:00Z</dc:date>
        <dc:identifier>doi:10.1186/1471-2458-9-422</dc:identifier>
        <prism:publicationName>BMC Public Health</prism:publicationName>
        <prism:issn>1471-2458</prism:issn>
        <prism:volume>9</prism:volume>
        <prism:startingPage>422</prism:startingPage>
        <prism:publicationDate>2009-11-20T00:00:00Z</prism:publicationDate>
                <prism:versionidentifier>PDF</prism:versionidentifier>
                <cc:license rdf:resource="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/" />
    </item>
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        <cc:permits rdf:resource="http://creativecommons.org/ns#Reproduction" />
        <cc:permits rdf:resource="http://creativecommons.org/ns#Distribution" />
        <cc:permits rdf:resource="http://creativecommons.org/ns#DerivativeWorks" />
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