Table 9

Outcomes predicted by models for one birth cohort in Amr- region

POLYMODa

Roxanne

CoRoVa


Undiscounted cases

Mild

8,989

11,318

12,481

Moderate

4,760

6,471

5,286

Severe

496

897

514

Nosocomial

164

193

263

Deaths

31

59

50

Outpatient

5,256

6,471

5,286

Inpatient (comm. acq.)

496

897

514

Discounted savings

Outpatient

$181,333

$216,626

$239,534

Inpatient

$330,083

$432,618

$255,186

Indirect

$105,467

$98,697

$78,947

Discounted net costsb (*1000)

$293

$ 346-1,127

$ 495-1271

Discounted QALYs

Mortality

900

1,662

1,413

Morbidity

53

66

61


a. Approximations for one cohort from the multi-cohort results; b. Health-care perspective and range given for previous upper and lower vaccine prices if appropriate

Postma et al. BMC Medicine 2011 9:84   doi:10.1186/1741-7015-9-84

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