Table 8

Outcomes predicted by models for one birth cohort in Sear-region

POLYMODa

Roxanne

CoRoVa


Undiscounted cases

Mild

216,205

276,861

299,907

Moderate

114,255

159,129

127,020

Severe

11,887

22,086

12,325

Nosocomial

3,923

4,748

6,309

Deaths

1,486

2,752

2,366

Outpatient

126,142

159,129

127,020

Inpatient (comm. acq.)

11,887

22,086

12,325

Discounted savings

Outpatient

$1,135,274

$1,391,130

$1,852,744

Inpatient

$2,208,959

$2,975,397

$1,712,409

Indirect

$1,267,227

$1,213,598

$948,564

Discounted net costsb (*1000)

$15,424

$ 19,969-39,083

$ 20,545-39,423

Discounted QALYs

Mortality

41,822

75,969

65,244

Morbidity

1,261

1,731

1,462


a. Approximations for one cohort from the multi-cohort results; b. Health-care perspective and range given for previous upper and lower vaccine prices if appropriate.

Postma et al. BMC Medicine 2011 9:84   doi:10.1186/1741-7015-9-84

Open Data