Table 2

Forecast Accuracy measured as Mean Absolute Percentage Error for the various forecasting models on the validation dataset.

Simple Mean

Seasonal

Trimmed Seasonal

ARIMA

Total Visits %

11.58

9.62

9.56

9.37

Respiratory Visits %

50.16

33.80

32.05

27.54

Reis and Mandl BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making 2003 3:2   doi:10.1186/1472-6947-3-2