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Open Access Highly Accessed Research article

A flexible simulation platform to quantify and manage emergency department crowding

Joshua E Hurwitz1*, Jo Ann Lee1, Kenneth K Lopiano2, Scott A McKinley1, James Keesling1 and Joseph A Tyndall3

Author Affiliations

1 Department of Mathematics, University of Florida, Gainesville FL, USA

2 Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute, Research Triangle Park NC, USA

3 Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Florida, Gainesville FL, USA

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BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making 2014, 14:50  doi:10.1186/1472-6947-14-50

Published: 9 June 2014

Abstract

Background

Hospital-based Emergency Departments are struggling to provide timely care to a steadily increasing number of unscheduled ED visits. Dwindling compensation and rising ED closures dictate that meeting this challenge demands greater operational efficiency.

Methods

Using techniques from operations research theory, as well as a novel event-driven algorithm for processing priority queues, we developed a flexible simulation platform for hospital-based EDs. We tuned the parameters of the system to mimic U.S. nationally average and average academic hospital-based ED performance metrics and are able to assess a variety of patient flow outcomes including patient door-to-event times, propensity to leave without being seen, ED occupancy level, and dynamic staffing and resource use.

Results

The causes of ED crowding are variable and require site-specific solutions. For example, in a nationally average ED environment, provider availability is a surprising, but persistent bottleneck in patient flow. As a result, resources expended in reducing boarding times may not have the expected impact on patient throughput. On the other hand, reallocating resources into alternate care pathways can dramatically expedite care for lower acuity patients without delaying care for higher acuity patients. In an average academic ED environment, bed availability is the primary bottleneck in patient flow. Consequently, adjustments to provider scheduling have a limited effect on the timeliness of care delivery, while shorter boarding times significantly reduce crowding. An online version of the simulation platform is available at http://spark.rstudio.com/klopiano/EDsimulation/ webcite.

Conclusion

In building this robust simulation framework, we have created a novel decision-support tool that ED and hospital managers can use to quantify the impact of proposed changes to patient flow prior to implementation.

Keywords:
Simulation; Emergency department; Throughput; Crowding; Quantify; Hospital; Site-specific; Boarding times; Fast track