Table 5

Predicting death by Cox-regression models during and after hospital stay in Nordic hospitals among elderly patients (202/561) by MAPLe-AC based on pre-morbid, admission and 7th day or discharge information.

Pre-morbid information

Admission information

7th day or discharge information


Hazard Ratio

95% CI

p <

Hazard Ratio

95% CI

p <

Hazard Ratio

95% CI

p <


Sex (Women = 1)

0.61

0.46

0.46

0.001

0.58

0.44

0.78

0.000

0.60

0.45

0.79

0.000

Age 75-79

1.00

1.00

1.00

Age 80-84

1.17

0.79

0.79

0.428

1.23

0.83

1.83

0.299

1.18

0.80

1.75

0.409

Age 85-89

1.25

0.84

0.84

0.269

1.25

0.84

1.86

0.277

1.23

0.83

1.83

0.306

Age 90+

1.52

0.99

0.99

0.056

1.56

1.02

2.40

0.042

1.50

0.98

2.30

0.065

Reason for hospitalization

New problem

1.00

1.00

1.00

Exacerbation of existing problem

1.46

1.04

1.04

0.028

1.52

1.08

2.12

0.015

1.51

1.08

2.11

0.016

Both new and old problem

1.94

1.34

1.34

0.000

1.98

1.37

2.86

0.000

1.94

1.34

2.81

0.000

MAPLe-AC

Low

1.00

1.00

1.00

Mild

1.61

0.94

0.94

0.081

0.85

0.38

1.94

0.706

1.78

1.01

3.14

0.048

Moderate

1.76

1.19

1.19

0.005

1.31

0.76

2.25

0.328

1.77

1.11

2.82

0.017

High

2.82

1.88

1.88

0.000

2.26

1.29

3.94

0.004

2.69

1.67

4.34

0.000

Very high

3.70

2.21

2.21

0.000

2.71

1.44

5.09

0.002

3.63

2.08

6.35

0.000

Diagnoses (ICD-10)

Neoplasms

3.21

2.25

2.25

0.000

3.29

2.31

4.70

0.000

3.44

2.41

4.91

0.000

Mental and behavioral diseases

0.43

0.25

0.25

0.003

0.48

0.28

0.84

0.010

0.46

0.26

0.81

0.007

Diseases of the respiratory system

1.59

1.18

1.18

0.003

1.62

1.21

2.17

0.001

1.61

1.20

2.17

0.002


Noro et al. BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making 2011 11:39   doi:10.1186/1472-6947-11-39

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