Table 1
|
|
List of symbols
|
|
Symbol
|
Definition
|
Sample value used
|
Parameter range
|
|
|
CU
|
Unvaccinated female children
|
(state variable)
|
|
|
AU
|
Unvaccinated adult women
|
(state variable)
|
|
|
CV
|
Vaccinated female children
|
(state variable)
|
|
|
AV
|
Vaccinated adult women
|
(state variable)
|
|
|
IU
|
Uninfected adult women
|
(state variable)
|
|
|
IV
|
Infected adult women
|
(state variable)
|
|
|
M
|
Uninfected men
|
(state variable)
|
|
|
N
|
Infected men
|
(state variable)
|
|
|
πW
|
Rate of appearance of new females
|
50 per year
|
0–100
|
|
πM
|
Rate of appearance of new males
|
50 per year
|
0–100
|
|
ε
|
Vaccine immunogenicity in female children
|
98%
|
75–98%
|
|

|
Vaccine immunogenicity in adult women
|
98%
|
75–98%
|
|
p
|
Proportion of female children vaccinated
|
77%
|
0–100%
|
|

|
Proportion of adult women vaccinated
|
40%
|
0–100%
|
|
μC
|
Mortality rate of children
|
1/70 years -1
|
1/140–1/13
|
|
μ
|
Leaving rate of adults
|
1/10 years-1
|
1/12–1
|
|
α
|
Rate of progression of female children to sexually activity
|

|
1/12–1
|
|
c
|
Attentuation constant
|
0.15 years-1
|
0–0.3
|
|
γ
|
Maximal possible rate of adult vaccination
|
0.1
|
0–0.2
|
|

|
Rate at which unvaccinated adult women are vaccinated
|

|
|
|
βN
|
Probability of infection of a woman by an infected man
|
0.00056
|
0–0.00112
|
|
βM
|
Probability of infection of a man by an infected woman
|
0.0003
|
0–0.0006
|
|
ψ
|
Vaccine efficacy
|
95%
|
85–95%
|
|
|
Sample parameters were chosen so that (ie the total time between vaccination and leaving was always 13 years), γc-1 = 16.67 (ie the optimum age of vaccination for a perfect vaccine with 100% coverage
was 16 years 9 months), βN > βM (ie the transmission probability from men to women was higher than from women to men),
the total prevalence without vaccination was 24% and so that the proportion of adult-only
vaccination was equal to the proportion of childhood-only vaccination required to
eradicate targeted types.
|
|
Llamazares and Smith? BMC Public Health 2008 8:114 doi:10.1186/1471-2458-8-114
|