|Epidemiological estimations for a mild and a severe pandemic scenario|
|Mild baseline scenario*||Severe baseline scenario*|
|Overall attack rate||421,704 (38.34%)||422,839 (38.44%)|
|Clinical attack rate||295,237 (26.84%)||297,295 (27.03%)|
|Peak prevalence of symptomatic cases||10,034 (0.91%)||10,017 (0.91%)|
|Peak prevalence hospitalised cases||176 (0.02%)||176 (0.02%)|
|Critical outpatients (over total pandemic)||11 (0.001%)||3018 (0.27%)|
|Case fatality rate||115 (0.01%)||3,543 (0.32%)|
* Estimations made for a mild and severe baseline scenario for a region in Lao PDR (Vientiane Prefecture and Vientiane Province) assuming actual available resources, a basic reproduction number of 1.4 and 10% contact reduction. No other interventions were assumed and only severe cases were treated with antivirals. Values are provided in absolute numbers with the percentage of total population size (n = 1,099,889).
Stein et al.
Stein et al. BMC Public Health 2012 12:870 doi:10.1186/1471-2458-12-870