Table 1 |
||
| Epidemiological estimations for a mild and a severe pandemic scenario | ||
| Mild baseline scenario* | Severe baseline scenario* | |
| Overall attack rate | 421,704 (38.34%) | 422,839 (38.44%) |
| Clinical attack rate | 295,237 (26.84%) | 297,295 (27.03%) |
| Peak prevalence of symptomatic cases | 10,034 (0.91%) | 10,017 (0.91%) |
| Peak prevalence hospitalised cases | 176 (0.02%) | 176 (0.02%) |
| Critical outpatients (over total pandemic) | 11 (0.001%) | 3018 (0.27%) |
| Case fatality rate | 115 (0.01%) | 3,543 (0.32%) |
* Estimations made for a mild and severe baseline scenario for a region in Lao PDR (Vientiane Prefecture and Vientiane Province) assuming actual available resources, a basic reproduction number of 1.4 and 10% contact reduction. No other interventions were assumed and only severe cases were treated with antivirals. Values are provided in absolute numbers with the percentage of total population size (n = 1,099,889).
Stein et al. BMC Public Health 2012 12:870 doi:10.1186/1471-2458-12-870
