Table 4

Capture-recapture estimates of total numbers of cases, sensitivities of each source, incidence estimates and 95% confidence intervals

Chapman's formula

Chao's lower bound estimator

Total number of cases in population

Sensitivity lab %

Sensitivity notifications %

Incidence

(per 100,000)

Total number of cases in population

Sensitivity lab%

Sensitivity notifications %

Incidence (per 100,000)


Hepatitis A

1852

(1665-2040)

30

(28-34)

32

(29-35)

52.8

(47.5-58.2)

1858

(1669-2047)

30

(27-34)

32

(29-35)

53.0

(47.6-58.4)

Hepatitis B

IgM anti-HBc

1831

(1399-2263)

21

(17-27)

12

(10-16)

52.2

(39.9-64.5)

1989

(1502-2477)

19

(15-25)

11

(9-15)

56.7

(42.8-70.6)

Hepatitis C

dialysis & gastroenterology omitted

2081

(1901-2260)

84

(78-92)

4

(4-5)

59.3

(54.2-64.5)

11359

(8997-13721)

15

(13-20)

1

(1-1)

323.9

(256.6-391.3)

Brucellosis

WHO criteria

362

(299-425)

42

(36-51)

32

(27-39)

10.3

(8.5-12.1)

371

(304-439)

41

(34-50)

31

(26-38)

10.6

(8.7-12.5)

Agglutination < 1/80

545

(468-622)

56

(49-66)

21

(19-25)

15.5

(13.4-17.7)

688

(572-804)

45

(38-54)

17

(14-20)

19.6

(16.3-22.9)

Syphilis

WHO criteria

331

(283-378)

61

(53-71)

26

(23-30)

9.4

(8.1-10.8)

396

(327-465)

51

(43-61)

22

(19-26)

11.3

(9.3-13.3)

notified lab cases not meeting WHO criteria included

274

(250-298)

79

73-87)

31

(29-34)

7.8

(7.1-8.5)

338

(293-382)

64

(57-74)

25

(23-29)

9.6

(8.4-10.9)


Durusoy and Karababa BMC Public Health 2010 10:71   doi:10.1186/1471-2458-10-71

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