Table 3

Simulated outcomes for epidemics with different interventions

R0

1.4

1.5

1.6


Intervention Policies

FAR

PDIR

RAV

FAR

PDIR

RAV

FAR

PDIR

RAV


No intervention

27.9

82

0

32.5

121

0

37.2

159

0

ISC

23.5

53

0

29.3

74

0

34.1

100

0

T

21.1

54

10.4

26.6

84

13.3

32.2

120

16.0

T+H

12.6

24

18.4

18.7

41

25.2

23.4

62

30.3

T+H+E

9.0

15

30.6

13.0

22

40.2

19.9

39

45.8

T + ISC

16.9

32

8.5

23.8

53

11.5

27.9

77

14.1

T + H + ISC

10.1

14

14.2

14.8

23

20.8

20.8

41

26.9

T + H + E + ISC

7.1

10

25.0

10.9

17

35.3

15.5

30

44.8


Simulated Final Attack Rate % (FAR), Peak Daily Incidence Rate per 10,000 population (PDIR) and Required Anti Viral courses % (RAV) for epidemics with different interventions. Interventions abbreviations: T - antiviral treatment, H - household antiviral prophylaxis, E - extended prophylaxis, ISC - individual school closure (2 weeks duration, maximum of 2 closures per school).

Halder et al. BMC Public Health 2010 10:168   doi:10.1186/1471-2458-10-168

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