Table 2

Simulated characteristics of baseline (no-intervention) epidemics for R0 values

R0

1.4

1.5

1.6


Characteristics

Mean

S.D.

Mean

S.D.

Mean

S.D.


Final Infection Rate (%)

36.3

1.32

43.9

1.09

50.4

1.02

Final Attack Rate (%)

26.9

0.95

32.5

0.77

37.2

0.74

Peak Symptomatic Population (%)

4.45

0.49

6.6

0.46

8.74

0.51

Peak Daily incidence Rate (per 10000)

82

8

121

9

159

10

Peak Attack Day

51

7.7

45

4.74

40

4.48

Serial Interval

2.49

0.01

2.47

0.01

2.45

0.01


Means and standard deviations (S.D.) are for 40 simulation runs, each with stochastic choices made with different random-number sequences.

Halder et al. BMC Public Health 2010 10:168   doi:10.1186/1471-2458-10-168

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