Table 1

Analysis scenarios

Annual% change in SBA delivery based on current trend

More optimistic projection of annual% change in SBA delivery *

Very optimistic projection of annual% change in SBA delivery

High fertility assumption for projected births

Low fertility assumption for projected births


Scenario 1

X

X


Scenario 2

X

X


Scenario 3

X

X


Scenario 4

X

X


Scenario 5

X

X


Scenario 6

X

X


The six scenarios used in the analysis, each of which assumes one of three projections in changes in SBA attendance and one of two fertility assumptions regarding projected number of births. *Annual percentage change is double (quadruple) the current trend, but for any given country, this value is capped at the maximum observed current trend across all countries (Bhutan, 17% annual improvement). A lower bound of zero was applied to all scenarios.

Crowe et al. BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth 2012 12:4   doi:10.1186/1471-2393-12-4

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