Comparison between baseline scenarios (R0, max = 1.5 and GI = 2 versus R0, max = 2.2 and GI = 3.1), no vaccination. Dynamics of the pandemic starting from Mexico City, in late March 2009, in the absence of preventive and control measures for two pandemic profiles (R0, max = 1.5 and GI = 2 (red); versus R0, max = 2.2 and GI = 3.1 (blue)). Graphs represent average daily incidences calculated on 500 simulation runs: for all cities of the network (upper panel) and specifically for cities in each zone (North, South and Tropics; lower panels).
Flahault et al. BMC Infectious Diseases 2009 9:129 doi:10.1186/1471-2334-9-129