Table 4

Predicted cumulative number of deaths attributable to HAV, with and without including the cohort effect in the dynamic model.

Cumulative number of deaths


Over 20 years (2006–2025)

Over 50 years (2006–2055)


Without cohort effect

With cohort effect

Without cohort effect

With cohort effect


Age Class

Vaccination

No vaccination

Vaccination

No vaccination

Vaccination

No vaccination

Vaccination

No vaccination


0–4

7.6

12.3

6.8

9.5

18.5

30.8

16.2

22.9

5–9

5.0

15.7

4.4

12.1

10.5

39.2

9.2

29.3

10–19

9.9

19.9

8.5

14.9

17.9

49.6

15.5

36.0

20–29

13.5

21.3

11.3

15.3

23.7

53.2

19.7

36.6

30–39

17.0

27.1

13.9

19.0

33.9

67.7

27.5

45.5

40–59

48.9

79.2

33.6

46.8

109.7

198.0

81.7

122.7

60+

159.6

265.6

59.3

85.6

367.7

664.0

205.5

311.4

All Ages

261.6

441.0

137.9

203.2

581.8

1102.5

375.3

604.5


Srinivasa Rao et al. BMC Infectious Diseases 2006 6:174   doi:10.1186/1471-2334-6-174

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