Table 4 |
||||||||
|
Predicted cumulative number of deaths attributable to HAV, with and without including the cohort effect in the dynamic model. |
||||||||
|
Cumulative number of deaths |
||||||||
|
|
||||||||
|
Over 20 years (2006–2025) |
Over 50 years (2006–2055) |
|||||||
|
|
||||||||
|
Without cohort effect |
With cohort effect |
Without cohort effect |
With cohort effect |
|||||
|
|
||||||||
|
Age Class |
Vaccination |
No vaccination |
Vaccination |
No vaccination |
Vaccination |
No vaccination |
Vaccination |
No vaccination |
|
|
||||||||
|
0–4 |
7.6 |
12.3 |
6.8 |
9.5 |
18.5 |
30.8 |
16.2 |
22.9 |
|
5–9 |
5.0 |
15.7 |
4.4 |
12.1 |
10.5 |
39.2 |
9.2 |
29.3 |
|
10–19 |
9.9 |
19.9 |
8.5 |
14.9 |
17.9 |
49.6 |
15.5 |
36.0 |
|
20–29 |
13.5 |
21.3 |
11.3 |
15.3 |
23.7 |
53.2 |
19.7 |
36.6 |
|
30–39 |
17.0 |
27.1 |
13.9 |
19.0 |
33.9 |
67.7 |
27.5 |
45.5 |
|
40–59 |
48.9 |
79.2 |
33.6 |
46.8 |
109.7 |
198.0 |
81.7 |
122.7 |
|
60+ |
159.6 |
265.6 |
59.3 |
85.6 |
367.7 |
664.0 |
205.5 |
311.4 |
|
All Ages |
261.6 |
441.0 |
137.9 |
203.2 |
581.8 |
1102.5 |
375.3 |
604.5 |
|
|
||||||||
|
Srinivasa Rao et al. BMC Infectious Diseases 2006 6:174 doi:10.1186/1471-2334-6-174 |
||||||||