Table 3 |
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|
Model parameters estimated from the 2008 South Korean epidemic. |
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|
Description |
Parameter |
Fixed or Estimated |
Value |
|
|
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|
Size of unit square |
- |
Fixed |
37.5 km × 37.5 km |
|
Infection probability |
τ |
Estimated |
0.429 day-1 |
|
Chicken incubation period |
μ |
Fixed |
2.5 days |
|
Duck incubation period |
ν |
Estimated |
7.2 days |
|
Quarantine radius |
λ |
Estimated |
0.293 units |
|
Long range relocation probability |
ω |
Estimated |
0.0083 day-1 |
|
Short-range relocation rate constant |
ψ |
Estimated |
162 units-1 |
|
Infection spreading distance |
γ |
Fixed |
0.15 unit |
|
Death probability of infected birds |
θ |
Fixed |
0.5 day-1 |
|
Delay in reporting outbreaks |
ϕ |
Fixed |
1 days |
|
|
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|
Kim et al. BMC Infectious Diseases 2010 10:236 doi:10.1186/1471-2334-10-236 |
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