Table 3

Areas under the curve for multivariable prediction of cancer and adenomas

Cancer

Advanced Adenoma

Adenomas

6 - 9 mm

Adenomas

≤5 mm


Model 1:

Age

0.66

0.62

0.60

0.62

Model 2:

Model 1 + gender, previous colonoscopy, education level

0.77

0.66

0.62

0.64

Model 3:

Model 2 + history of: smoking, IBS, adenomas, or NSAID, aspirin use

0.79

0.69

0.65

0.66

Model 4:

Model 3 + symptoms*

0.83

0.70

0.67

0.67


Note: NSAID = non- steroidal anti-inflammatory drug

IBS = irritable bowel syndrome

*only bleeding, rectal mucus, anaemia and fatigue were found to be significant and included in the final model.

Adelstein et al. BMC Gastroenterology 2011 11:97   doi:10.1186/1471-230X-11-97

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