Table 1

Fit of demographic models

Demographic Model


Coalescent
Recipient
Donor
lnLkb
AICc
ESSd

env V1-V4








Constant
-a
-4155.385
8310.77
523.85
Constant
Constant
-4144.993
8291.99
419.77
Exponential
Constant
-4103.717
8211.43
643.10
Logistic
Constant
-4090.154
8186.31
126.43





gag p24








Constant
-a
-3118.180
6236.36
483.84
Constant
Constant
-3121.900
6245.80
440.34
Exponential
Constant
-3116.760
6237.52
378.33
Logistic
Constant
-3089.852
6185.70
202.69

aPopulation size in Recipient constrained to be the same as that in Donor

bNatural logarithm of the likelihood obtained from fitting the demographic model to the data

cAkaike Information Criteria

dEffective Sample Size (number of independent coalescent genealogies sampled from the posterior distribution)

Edwards et al. BMC Evolutionary Biology 2006 6:28   doi:10.1186/1471-2148-6-28