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Real-time numerical forecast of global epidemic spreading: case study of 2009 A/H1N1pdm

Michele Tizzoni, Paolo Bajardi, Chiara Poletto, José J Ramasco, Duygu Balcan, Bruno Gonçalves, Nicola Perra, Vittoria Colizza and Alessandro Vespignani*

BMC Medicine 2012, 10:165  doi:10.1186/1741-7015-10-165

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