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Paul Ginsparg
Los Alamos National Laboratory


BMC  Freedom of Information Conference 2000

Paul Ginsparg
Los Alamos National Laboratory


Creating a global knowledge network

Don't just clone the paper methodology

How should our scientific research communications infrastructure be reconfigured to take maximal advantage of newly evolving electronic resources? Rather than "electronic publishing," which connotes a rather straightforward cloning of the paper methodology to the electronic network, many researchers would prefer to see the new technology lead to some form of global "knowledge network," and sooner rather than later.

Some of the possibilities offered by a unified global archive are suggested by the Los Alamos e-print archives (where "e-print" denotes self archiving by the author), which since their inception in 1991 have become a major forum for dissemination of results in physics and mathematics. These e-print archives are entirely scientist driven, and are flexible enough either to co-exist with the pre-existing publication system, or to help it evolve into something better able to meet researcher needs. The archives are an example of a service created by a group of specialists for their own use: It is also important to note that the rapid dissemination they provide is not in the least inconsistent with concurrent or subsequent peer review, and in the long run offers a possible framework for a more functional archival structuring of the literature than is provided by current peer review processes.

The electronic medium can do it cheaper and better

As argued by Odlyzko,[1] the current methodology of research dissemination and validation is premised on a paper medium that was difficult to produce, difficult to distribute, difficult to archive, and difficult to duplicate -- a medium that hence required numerous local redistribution points in the form of research libraries. The electronic medium is opposite in each of the above regards, and, hence, if we were to start from scratch today to design a quality controlled distribution system for research findings, it would likely take a very different form both from the current system and from the electronic clone it would spawn without more constructive input from the research community.

The need to reconsider the above methodology is reinforced by noting that each article typically costs many tens of thousands of dollars to produce in salaries, and much more in equipment and overhead. A key point of the electronic communication medium is that, for a minuscule additional fraction of this amount, it is possible to archive the article and make it freely available to the entire world in perpetuity. Moreover, this is consistent with public policy goals for what is in large part publicly funded research. [3] The nine year lesson so far from the Los Alamos archives is that this additional cost, including the cost of the global mirror network, can be as little as a dollar per article, and there is no indication that maintenance of the archival portion of the database will require an increasing fraction of the time, cost, or effort.

Odlyzko has also pointed out that average aggregate publisher revenues are roughly $4000 per article, and that since acquisition costs are typically one third of library budgets, the current system expends an additional $8000 per article in other library costs.[1] [2] Of course, some of the publisher revenues are necessary to organize peer review, although the latter depends on the donated time and energy of the research community and is subsidized by the same grant funds and institutions that sponsor the research in the first place. The question crystallized by the new communications medium is whether this arrangement is the most efficient way to organise the review and certification functions, or if the dissemination and authentication systems can be naturally disentangled to create a more forward looking research communications infrastructure.

A new model for research communications

The figure (figure 1) illustrates one such possible hierarchical structuring of our research communications infrastructure. It also represents graphically the key possibility in the new electronic architecture: that of disentangling and decoupling the production and dissemination on the one hand, from the quality control and validation on the other, in a way that is not possible in the paper realm. The figure shows three electronic service layers, as viewed by the interested reader/researcher, who can choose the most auspicious access method for navigating the electronic literature. The three layers are the data, information, and knowledge networks--where information is taken to mean data plus metadata (i.e. descriptive data), and knowledge signifies information plus synthesis (i.e. additional synthesizing information).

The knowledge layer includes third parties that can overlay the information and data levels with synthesizing information, and can partition the information into sectors according to subject area, overall importance, quality of research, degree of pedagogy, interdisciplinarity, or other useful criteria. They can also maintain other useful retrospective resources, such as suggesting a minimal path through the literature to understand a given article, and suggesting pointers to outstanding lines of research later spawned by it.

The three layers depicted are multiply interconnected. The information layer can harvest and index metadata from the data layer to generate an aggregation which can in turn span more than one particular archive or discipline. The knowledge layer points to useful resources in the information layer. The synthesizing information in the knowledge layer is the glue that assembles the building blocks from the lower layers into a knowledge structure more accessible to both experts and non-experts.

The role of journals in this new hierarchy is to serve as pointers to selected entries at the data level. This is identical to the current primary role of journals: to select and certify specific subsets of the literature for the benefit of the reader. A heterodox point that arises in this model is that a given article at the data level can be pointed to by multiple such virtual journals, insofar as they are trying to provide a useful guide to the reader. Such multiple appearance would no longer waste space on library shelves, nor be viewed as dishonest. This could tend to reduce the overall article flux and any tendency on the part of authors towards creating "least publishable units." The author of the future could thereby be promoted on the basis of quality rather than quantity: instead of 25 articles on a given subject, the author can point to a single critical article that "appears" in 25 different journals.

The reader can choose how best to proceed for any given application: either trolling for gems directly from the data level (as many graduate students are occasionally wont to do, hoping to find a key insight missed by the mainstream), or instead beginning the quest at the information or knowledge levels, in order to benefit from some form of prefiltering or organization. The reader most in need of a structured guide would turn directly to the highest level of "value added" knowledge in the "knowledge network."

This is where capitalism should return to the fore: researchers can and should be willing to pay a fair market value for services provided at the information or knowledge levels that facilitate and enhance the research experience. However, for reasons detailed above, we expect that access at the raw data level can be provided without charge to readers. In the future this raw access can be further assisted not only by full text search engines but also by automatically generated reference and citation linking. The experience from the physics e-print archives is that this raw access is extremely useful to researchers, and the small admixture of noise from a non-peer reviewed sector has not constituted a major problem. Research in science has certain well defined checks and balances, and is ordinarily pursued by certain well defined communities.

Change will come through experiment and evolutionary forces

Ultimately, issues regarding the correct configuration of electronic research infrastructure will be decided experimentally, and it will be edifying to watch the evolving roles of the current participants. Some remain very attached to the status quo, as evidenced by responses to successive forms of the PubMedCentral proposal from professional societies and other agencies, ostensibly acting on behalf of researchers but sometimes disappointingly unable to recognize or consider potential benefits to them. It is also useful to bear in mind that much of the entrenched current methodology is largely a post World War II construct, including both the large scale entry of commercial publishers and the widespread use of peer review for mass implementation of quality control (neither necessary to, nor a guarantee of, good science). Ironically, the new technology may allow the traditional players from a century ago, namely the professional societies and institutional libraries, to return to their dominant role in support of the research enterprise.

The original objective of the Los Alamos archives was to provide functionality that was not otherwise available, and to provide a level playing field for researchers at different academic levels and different geographic locations -- the dramatic reduction in cost of dissemination came as an unexpected bonus. As Andy Grove of Intel has pointed out,[4] when a critical business element is changed by a factor of 10, it is necessary to rethink the entire enterprise. The Los Alamos e-print archives suggest that dissemination costs can be lowered by more than two orders of magnitude, not just one.

In the next 10 to 20 years, it is likely that many research communities will move to some form of global unified archive system, without the current partitioning and access restrictions familiar from the paper medium, for the simple reason that it is the best way to communicate knowledge and hence to create new knowledge.

Figure



The figure illustrates one such possible hierarchical structuring of our research communications infrastructure. It also represents graphically the key possibility in the new electronic architecture: that of disentangling and decoupling the production and dissemination on the one hand, from the quality control and validation on the other, in a way that is not possible in the paper realm. The figure shows three electronic service layers, as viewed by the interested reader/researcher, who can choose the most auspicious access method for navigating the electronic literature. The three layers are the data, information, and knowledge networks--where information is taken to mean data plus metadata (i.e. descriptive data), and knowledge signifies information plus synthesis (i.e. additional synthesizing information).

Data level: the figure shows a small number of potentially representative providers, including the Los Alamos e-print arXiv (and implicitly its international mirror network), a university library system such as the California Digital Library (CDL), and a typical foreign funding agency, such as the French Centre Nationale de Recherche Scientifique (CNRS). These are intended to convey the likely importance of library and international components. Note that there already exist cooperative agreements with each of these to coordinate via the "open archives" protocols (http://www.openarchives.org/) to facilitate aggregate distributed collections.

Information level: the figure shows a generic public search engine (Google), a generic commercial indexer (Institute for Scientific Information, ISI), and a generic government resource (the PubScience initiative), suggesting a mixture of free, commercial, and publicly funded resources at this level. For the biomedical audience at hand, I might have included services like Chemical Abstracts and PubMed at this level. A service such as GenBank is a hybrid in this setting, with components at both the data and information layers. The proposed role of PubMedCentral would be to fill the electronic gaps in the data layer highlighted by the more complete PubMed metadata.

Knowledge level: the figure shows a tiny set of existing physics Publishers: American Physical Society (APS), Journal of High Energy Physics (JHEP), and Applied and Theoretical Mathematical Physics (ATMP); the second is based in Italy and the third already uses the arXiv entirely for its electronic dissemination. It also shows BioMed Central (BMC). These are the third parties that can overlay additional synthesizing information on top of the information and data levels; partition the information into sectors according to subject area, overall importance, quality of research, degree of pedagogy, interdisciplinarity, useful criteria; and maintain other useful retrospective resources, such as suggesting a minimal path through the literature to understand a given article, and suggesting pointers to outstanding lines of research later spawned by it. The synthesizing information in the knowledge layer is the glue that assembles the building blocks from the lower layers into a knowledge structure more accessible to both experts and non-experts.

The three layers depicted are multiply interconnected. The green arrows indicate that the information layer can harvest and index metadata from the data layer to generate an aggregation which can in turn span more than one particular archive or discipline. The red arrows suggest that the knowledge layer points to useful resources in the information layer. The blue arrows -- critical here -- represent how journals of the future can exist in an "overlay" form, i.e. as a set of pointers to selected entries at the data level. The black arrows suggest how the reader might best proceed for any given application: either trolling for gems directly from the data level (as many graduate students are occasionally wont to do, hoping to find a key insight missed by the mainstream), or instead beginning the quest at the information or knowledge levels, in order to benefit from some form of pre-filtering or organization.

Paul Ginsparg
Los Alamos National Laboratory
New Mexico USA

References
1. Odlyzko A. Tragic loss or good riddance? The impending demise of traditional scholarly journals. Intern J Human-Computer Studies 1995 ;42:71-122. Also available in the electronic J Univ Comp Sci pilot issue, 1994.

2. Odlyzko A. Competition and cooperation: libraries and publishers in the transition to electronic scholarly journals. Journal of Electronic Publishing 1999; http://www.press.umich.edu/jep. Also in J Scholarly Publishing 1999;30;163-85. Articles also available at http://www.research.att.com/~amo/doc/eworld.html

3. Bachrach S et al. Who Should 'Own' Scientific Papers? Science 1998;281:1459-60 (http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/281/5382/1459)

4. Grove A. Only the Paranoid Survive: How to Exploit the Crisis Points That Challenge Every Company and Career. Bantam Doubleday Dell, 1996.

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