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Open Access Highly Access Research article

Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A(H1N1): a Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobility

Duygu Balcan1,2†, Hao Hu1,2,3†, Bruno Goncalves1,2†, Paolo Bajardi4,5†, Chiara Poletto4†, Jose J Ramasco4, Daniela Paolotti4, Nicola Perra1,6,7, Michele Tizzoni4,8, Wouter V Broeck4, Vittoria Colizza4 and Alessandro Vespignani1,2,4*

  • * Corresponding author: Alessandro Vespignani alexv@indiana.edu

  • † Equal contributors

Author Affiliations

1 Center for Complex Networks and Systems Research, School of Informatics and Computing, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA

2 Pervasive Technology Institute, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA

3 Department of Physics, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA

4 Computational Epidemiology Laboratory, Institute for Scientific Interchange, Turin, Italy

5 Centre de Physique Théorique, Université d'Aix-Marseille, Marseille, France

6 Department of Physics, University of Cagliari, Cagliari, Italy

7 Linkalab, Cagliari, Italy

8 Scuola di Dottorato, Politecnico di Torino, Torino Italy

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BMC Medicine 2009, 7:45 doi:10.1186/1741-7015-7-45

Published: 10 September 2009

Additional files

Additional file 1:

Additional information. The file provides details on the model and all the statistical and sensitivity analysis carried out in the preparation of this work. The file also contains references to all data sources used in the preparation of this work.

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