Predictability and epidemic pathways in global outbreaks of infectious diseases: the SARS case study

doi:10.1186/1741-7015-5-34

BMC Medicine

Volume 5

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Research article

Predictability and epidemic pathways in global outbreaks of infectious diseases: the SARS case study

Vittoria Colizza¹ , Alain Barrat¹^,2 , Marc Barthélemy³ and Alessandro Vespignani⁴^,5

¹Complex Networks Lagrange Laboratory (CNLL), Institute for Scientific Interchange (ISI) Foundation, Turin, Italy

²Unité Mixte de Recherche du CNRS UMR 8627, Bâtiment 210, Univ Paris-Sud, F-91405 Orsay, France

³CEA-DIF Centre d'Etudes de Bruyères-Le-Châtel, BP12, F-91680, France

⁴School of Informatics and Center for Biocomplexity, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47401, USA

⁵Institute for Scientific Interchange (ISI) Foundation, Turin, Italy

author email corresponding author email

BMC Medicine 2007, 5:34doi:10.1186/1741-7015-5-34


Published:	21 November 2007

Additional files

Additional file 1:

Additional figures and materials. The Additional file 1 contains a detailed description of the infection dynamics considered in the model, together with the results of the sensitivity analysis performed on the values of the risk threshold and of the intervention delay. The comparison with the results presented in the manuscript is presented and discussed.

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