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Open Access Research article

Predictability and epidemic pathways in global outbreaks of infectious diseases: the SARS case study

Vittoria Colizza1*, Alain Barrat12, Marc Barthélemy3 and Alessandro Vespignani45

Author Affiliations

1 Complex Networks Lagrange Laboratory (CNLL), Institute for Scientific Interchange (ISI) Foundation, Turin, Italy

2 Unité Mixte de Recherche du CNRS UMR 8627, Bâtiment 210, Univ Paris-Sud, F-91405 Orsay, France

3 CEA-DIF Centre d'Etudes de Bruyères-Le-Châtel, BP12, F-91680, France

4 School of Informatics and Center for Biocomplexity, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47401, USA

5 Institute for Scientific Interchange (ISI) Foundation, Turin, Italy

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BMC Medicine 2007, 5:34  doi:10.1186/1741-7015-5-34

Published: 21 November 2007

Additional files

Additional file 1:

Additional figures and materials. The Additional file 1 contains a detailed description of the infection dynamics considered in the model, together with the results of the sensitivity analysis performed on the values of the risk threshold and of the intervention delay. The comparison with the results presented in the manuscript is presented and discussed.

Format: PDF Size: 325KB Download file

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