Open Access Research article

Modeling the epidemiological history of plague in Central Asia: Palaeoclimatic forcing on a disease system over the past millennium

Kyrre Linné Kausrud1, Mike Begon2, Tamara Ben Ari1, Hildegunn Viljugrein1, Jan Esper3, Ulf Büntgen4, Herwig Leirs56, Claudia Junge1, Bao Yang7, Meixue Yang8, Lei Xu19 and Nils Chr Stenseth1*

Author Affiliations

1 Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis (CEES), Dept. of Biology, University of Oslo, P.O. Box 1066, N-0316 Oslo, Norway

2 School of Biological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool L69 7ZB, UK

3 Department of Geography, Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, 55099 Mainz, Germany

4 Dendro Sciences Unit, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL, Switzerland

5 Dept. of Biology, University of Antwerp, Groenenborgerlaan 171 B-2020, Antwerp, Belgium

6 Danish Pest Infestation Laboratory, University of Aarhus, Dept. of Integrated Pest Management, Skovbrynet 14, DK-2800 Kongens Lyngby, Denmark

7 Key Laboratory of Desert and Desertification, Cold and Arid Regions, Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, 730000, Gansu Province, China

8 State Key Laboratory of Cryspheric Sciences, Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China

9 State Key Laboratory of Integrated Management on Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China

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BMC Biology 2010, 8:112  doi:10.1186/1741-7007-8-112

Published: 27 August 2010

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Additional file 1:

Supporting information containing additional figures. Figures S1-S13.

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