Table 1

Comparative detection performance

Detection method

Flat outbreak

Linear outbreak

Spike outbreak


Autoregression

0.94

0.90

0.88

Serfling

0.93

0.88

0.89

Trimmed seasonal

0.95

0.91

0.89

Wavelet

0.93

0.87

0.86

Generalized linear

0.95

0.91

0.91

Expectation-variance

0.95

0.91

0.91


ROC curve areas for traditional and expectation-variance detection models applied to three different types of outbreaks superimposed on respiratory visits to an urban pediatric ED, August 1998 – July 2004.

Wieland et al. BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making 2007 7:15   doi:10.1186/1472-6947-7-15

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