Table 5

Predictive value comparing patients needing a reintervention (n = 82) with not needing reintervention and for inhospital mortality (n = 49).

Score

AUC (95% CI)

P-value whether AUC different from 0.5


Reintervention (n = 82)

APACHE-II

0.49 (0.41 to 0.57)

0.860

SAPS-II

0.56 (0.48 to 0.64)

0.145

MPI

0.52 (0.44 to 0.60)

0.666

SOFA (day 1) a

0.55 (0.47 to 0.63)

0.205

SOFA (day 2) b

0.57 (0.49 to 0.65)

0.088

MODS (day 1) a

0.55 (0.47 to 0.63)

0.199

MODS (day 2) b

0.53 (0.45 to 0.61)

0.469

APS (day 1)a

0.60 (0.52 to 0.68)

0.019

APS (day 2) b

0.53 (0.44 to 0.61)

0.531

Inhospital mortality (n = 49)

APACHE-II

0.74 (0.65 to 0.82)

< 0.001

SAPS-II

0.80 (0.73 to 0.87)

< 0.001

MPI score

0.60 (0.52 to 0.69)

0.026

SOFA (day 1) c

0.72 (0.63 to 0.81)

< 0.001

MODS (day 1) c

0.76 (0.68 to 0.83)

< 0.001

APS (day 1) c

0.68 (0.59 to 0.77)

< 0.001


a patients deceased on day 0 (n = 2) and patient receiving relaparotomy on day 0 (n = 1) excluded

b patients deceased on day 0 and 1 (n = 3) and patients receiving relaparotomy on day 0 and 1 (n = 13) excluded

c patients deceased on day 0 (n = 2) and patient receiving relaparotomy on day 0 (n = 1) excluded

van Ruler et al. BMC Surgery 2011 11:38   doi:10.1186/1471-2482-11-38

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