|
The potential measles outbreak size (000s) by age group, under four scenarios of under-estimation of vaccine coverage. |
||||
| Age group |
Assumed level of under-estimation in vaccine coverage* |
|||
| 20% |
30% |
40% |
50% |
|
|
|
||||
| 0–4 years |
22.7 |
13.0 |
5.9 |
1.3 |
| 5–10 years |
49.9 |
26.8 |
11.3 |
2.2 |
| 11–17 years |
39.3 |
22.3 |
9.5 |
1.8 |
| 18–24 years |
3.3 |
2.0 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
| 25 years+ |
9.9 |
5.8 |
2.7 |
0.6 |
| Overall |
125.2 |
70.1 |
30.6 |
6.3 |
| In London |
105.8 |
61.8 |
29.6 |
6.3 |
|
* The proportion of children recorded as unvaccinated who had received one dose and the proportion of children recorded as having received a single dose who had received two doses was assumed to be 20%, 30%, 40% or 50%. | ||||
Choi et al. BMC Public Health 2008 8:338 doi:10.1186/1471-2458-8-338 |
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