Figure 4.

Retroactive and future predictions of the model for the Inuit Quebec population. Error bars represent standard deviations of forecast distributions. The red curve represents the prediction when re-infection (a transfer of recovered persons to the exposed category) is taken into account, and the error bars are suppressed at early times as a visual aide.

Klotz et al. BMC Public Health 2013 13:400   doi:10.1186/1471-2458-13-400
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