Table 2

Predicted annual reductions in incidence, mortality and health service savings (€000) of 4 diseases due to reductions of 3%, 15%, 35% in smoking; Base year = 2005
3% Reduction in smoking 15% Reduction in smoking 35% Reduction in smoking
2010 2020 2030 2010 2020 2030 2010 2020 2030
Netherlands
 Incidence 342 590 759 1709 2951 3802 3989 6894 8914
 Mortality 38 210 329 184 1044 1653 429 2438 3872
 Saving (€000) 2069 10147 16342 10344 50754 81884 24138 118458 191712
Austria
 Incidence 412 446 497 2066 2241 2497 4839 5276 5896
 Mortality 15 71 107 76 354 545 174 829 1282
 Saving (€000) 3025 10273 14620 15131 51540 73517 35342 120948 173168
France
 Incidence 298 684 929 1494 3412 4649 3484 7931 10868
 Mortality 63 415 616 318 2067 3079 738 4800 7199
 Saving (€000) 4729 24193 44981 23949 120864 224911 55855 281527 524636
Germany
 Incidence 602 1681 2333 3005 8401 11695 7008 19571 27403
 Mortality 156 898 1364 770 4488 6835 1791 10455 16013
 Saving (€000) 1133 5110 9378 5667 25539 46951 13214 59503 109802
Ireland
 Incidence 68 132 186 339 659 943 790 1537 2207
 Mortality 9 45 74 39 222 377 89 520 881
 Saving(€000) 410 2405 4647 2047 12031 23295 4780 28095 54563
Poland
 Incidence 1069 1626 1971 5359 8129 9899 12509 18982 23252
 Mortality 122 552 764 609 2769 3835 1419 6468 9011
 Saving (€000) 5734 27445 43154 28683 137299 216436 66975 320545 507479
Portugal
 Incidence 99 214 297 502 1067 1494 1174 2487 3497
 Mortality 10 55 90 50 262 459 117 615 1074
 Saving (€000) 597 4592 8960 2995 22931 44852 6981 53367 104799
Romania
 Incidence 656 799 848 3282 4005 4238 7666 9364 9926
 Mortality 7 40 73 41 198 366 98 462 859
 Saving (€000) 779 2546 3876 3894 12821 19395 9090 29941 45350
Switzerland
 Incidence 28 56 47 139 276 228 327 639 532
 Mortality 2 8 14 9 49 71 23 113 166
 Saving (€000) 296 2414 3281 1479 12023 16417 3444 27810 38391
UK
 Incidence 1218 1799 2237 6091 9013 11220 14218 21058 26330
 Mortality 264 960 1369 1328 4806 6883 3100 11288 16175
 Saving (€000) 9865 30532 40528 49280 152744 203185 115008 356837 476219

Cohen et al.

Cohen et al. BMC Public Health 2013 13:390   doi:10.1186/1471-2458-13-390

Open Data