Table 3

Intervention total costs
Intervention strategy AR (%) Cat 1 Cat 2 Cat 3 Cat 4 Cat 5
Case Fatality Ratio (CFR)
0.1% 0.25% 0.75% 1.5% 2.5%
no intervention 32.4 $441 $943 $2649 $5175 $8550
*SC cont + WR cont 15.7 $1217 $1439 $2194 $3311 $4804
SC 8 + WR 4 + CCR 4 + AV 14.9 $539 $757 $1499 $2596 $4062
SC 8 wks + AV 14.5 $374 $582 $1288 $2334 $3732
*SC cont + CCR 4 14.5 $518 $722 $1419 $2449 $3826
*SC cont + WR 4 + CCR 4 13.2 $654 $854 $1533 $2539 $3882
SC cont + AV 9.2 $489 $629 $1104 $1808 $2748
*SC cont + CCR cont 7.4 $447 $560 $945 $1514 $2275
SC cont + WR 4 + CCR 4 + AV 7.9 $585 $691 $1052 $1585 $2298
*SC cont + WR cont + CCR cont 6.0 $1116 $1208 $1521 $1984 $2603
SC cont + CCR cont + AV 5.7 $416 $488 $734 $1098 $1584
SC cont + WR cont + CCR cont + AV 5.6 $1083 $1155 $1401 $1764 $2249

Cost of pandemic shown as total cost for each intervention strategy and each severity category. Costs expressed as dollars (US) per member of population. Values are for pandemic with unmitigated transmissibility of R0 = 1.8. Interventions abbreviated as: SC – school closure; CCR – 50% community contact reduction; WR – 50% workforce reduction; 4, 8 – intervention duration in weeks; cont – continuous duration; AV – antiviral treatment of diagnosed symptomatic cases and antiviral prophylaxis of household members of diagnosed symptomatic cases. Purely social distancing interventions marked by *.

Kelso et al.

Kelso et al. BMC Public Health 2013 13:211   doi:10.1186/1471-2458-13-211

Open Data