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Table 1
Model parameters, together with baseline value and range if varied during analysis.
Parameter	Description	Value (Range)	Refs

g_E	Rate of transition from latent to prodromal	1/12 days^-1	[14]

g_P	Rate of transition from prodromal to infectious	1/2.5 days^-1	[15]

g_I	Rate of transition from infectious to removed	1/8.6 days^-1	[16]

δ	Case fatality risk	30%	[23,33]

θ	Probability of case isolation success	90%	[21]

g_Q	Rate of transition from isolated to removed	1/20 days^-1	[5]

ϵ	Probability of contact tracing success	80%	[5]

ϵ₁	Vaccine efficacy when susceptible	97.5%	[14]

ϵ₂	Vaccine efficacy when latent	30%	[23]

g_O	Rate of transition from observed to removed or vaccinated	1/15 days^-1	[5]

γ	Proportion of population contraindicated for mass vaccination	30%	[25]

E₀	Number of index cases	10	see text

	Number of index cases for secondary outbreak	1	see text

I_trig	Number of clinical cases prior to detection	4	see text

	Number of clinical cases prior to detection for secondary outbreak	1	see text

δ_V	Vaccine fatality risk	10^-5(0 -- 10^-5)	[24]

R₀	Basic reproductive ratio	5 (3 -- 7)	[14]

R_P	Prodromal type reproductive ratio	0.5 (0.1 -- 1.5)	[15,17]

κ	Movement reductions when infectious	0.9 (0 -- 1)	[5]

v	Rate of mass vaccination	N/7 (see Figure 3(c))	see text

N	Population size of region	10⁵(see Figure 3(a))	[28,29]

ξ	Region outwardness	0.4 (see Figure 3(d))	[27,30]

M	Number of regions of same type as outbreak region	n/a (see Figure 3(a))	[28,29]

M₀	Number of regions at relevant scale initially infected	1 (1 -- 10)	see text

n	Neighbourhood size (contacts per individual)	17 (5 -- 50)	[18,19]

ϕ	Clustering coefficient	0 (0 -- 0.5)	see text

Either references are given, or the parameter value is discussed in the main text. Values referenced to [5] are typically also based on expert opinion from discussions with the Department of Health. [34] provides an example of the considerations involved in estimating these values
House et al. BMC Infectious Diseases 2010 10:25 doi:10.1186/1471-2334-10-25

Table 1