Baseline dynamics for network smallpox model. The dynamical variables associated with a free-fall epidemic are shown growing in Pane (a), until the trigger is reached and intervention parameters come to dominate and the outbreak is eventually contained. (b) the cumulative probability of escape grows with untreated cases then levels off. Overall outcomes for the seven spatial scales in England, Wales and Scotland are shown in Panes (c) and (d).
House et al. BMC Infectious Diseases 2010 10:25 doi:10.1186/1471-2334-10-25