Table 1

Estimates of the parameters, and goodness of fit, for the transitional probabilities and for death (equations (1)-(2)) in the Canadian Study of Health and Aging (CSHA).


CSHA (wave 1–2)
CSHA (wave 2–3)

Math
1.17 (1.08, 1.26)
1.42 (1.32, 1.52)
β1
0.81 (0.78, 0.85)
0.86 (0.84, 0.89)
ln(P0d)
-1.66 (-1.71, -1.61)
-1.95 (-2.02, -1.88)
β2
0.09 (0.08, 0.09)
0.09 (0.08, 0.09)
r
0.99
0.98
R2
0.98
0.96

Math is the mean number of cognitive errors in transition for the people who had zero errors at baseline (at the zero state) and P0d is the probability of 5-year mortality for the people at the zero state (with zero cognitive errors at baseline). The increments β1 and β2 (for cognitive transitions and mortality, respectively) show how these values change with the baseline error state number. Note that the background parameters Math, ln(Pod) are significantly different between two transitions while the increments (β1, β2) are not.

Mitnitski and Rockwood BMC Geriatrics 2008 8:3   doi:10.1186/1471-2318-8-3