Table 3

Summary Hazard Ratios for Predictors of Time to Nursing Home Admission in Community-Dwelling Older Adults

Predictor

Data Sources Included (% of Participants Who Entered Nursing Home)

Pooled Hazards Ratio (95% Confidence Interval)

P Value for Heterogeneity*


Age

LSOA(14.6a) [12], MHOS(9.2) [31], MoVIES(13.6) [38], NLTCS(7.6b) [22]

1.07 (1.03–1.11)

.00

Arthritis

AHEAD(17.0) [29], MHOS(9.2) [31]

.86 (.58–1.29)

.00

Blood pressure

AHEAD(17.0) [29], MHOS(9.2) [31]

1.04 (1.01–1.07)

.60

Cancer

AHEAD(17.0) [29], MHOS(9.2) [31]

1.15 (1.11–1.19)

.68

Cardiovascular disease

AHEAD(17.0) [29], MHOS(9.2) [31]

1.02 (.88–1.17)

.32

Diabetes

AHEAD(17.0) [29], MHOS(9.2) [31]

1.35 (1.15–1.57)

.11

Falls

AHEAD(17.0) [29], MHOS(9.2) [31]

1.16 (1.02–1.30)

.28

Female

AHEAD(17.0) [29], EPESE-NH(33.3) [39], LSOA(14.6) [12], MHOS(8.2) [31], MoVIES(13.6) [38], NLTCS(7.6) [22]

.87 (.81–.93)

.18

Homeowner

LSOA(14.6) [12], MHOS(8.2) [31]

.88 (.85–.92)

.61

Incontinence

AHEAD(17.0) [29], EPESE-NH(33.3) [39]

1.05 (.95–1.17)

.34

Living with others

LSOA(14.6) [12], MoVIES(13.6) [38]

1.23 (.93–1.62)

.89

Lung disease

AHEAD(17.0) [29], MHOS(8.2) [31], NLTCS(7.6) [22]

1.01 (.70–1.46)

.00

Married

MHOS(8.2) [31], MoVIES(13.6) [38]

.90 (.87–.92)

.46

Number prescription drugs

EPESE-NH(33.3) [39], MoVIES(13.6) [38]

1.12 (.96–1.29)

.002

Spouse present

AHEAD(17.0) [29], EPESE-NH(33.3) [39]

.66 (.56–.77)

.24

Stroke

AHEAD(17.0) [29], EPESE-NH(33.3) [39]

1.24 (1.04–1.49)

.05

White (vs. all other races/ethnicities)

EPESE-NH(33.3) [39], MHOS(8.2) [31], NLTCS(14.0) [25]

1.76 (1.35–2.30)

.00


NOTE: aAdmission rate taken from LSOA data reported in Coward et al.10

b"Long-stay" admission rate from 1982–1984 in NLTC.

Gaugler et al. BMC Geriatrics 2007 7:13   doi:10.1186/1471-2318-7-13

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