Table 4

Outcome (percentage) that would have been detected using the model if colonoscopy restricted

Group to which colonoscopy restricted

Cancer

(%)

Advanced Adenoma

(%)

Adenomas

6 - 9 mm

(%)

Adenomas ≤ 5 mm

(%)


Aged 40+ (89.5% of patients)

100.0

97.0

97.2

97.4

Top 89.5% predicted probability of cancer from model

98.7

96.8

93.0

92.5

Aged 60+ and no previous colonoscopy (16% of patients)

49.1

28.2

20.6

18.9

Top 16% predicted probability of cancer from model

64.8

28.2

16.8

17.8


Adelstein et al. BMC Gastroenterology 2011 11:97   doi:10.1186/1471-230X-11-97

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