Prior, conditional and posterior probability density of Θφ (b3) in b3 - Θ(b3) - plane. A. Plot of prior probability density of Θφ(b3), p(Θφ). B. Plot of conditional probability density of Θφ(b3), . C. Plot of posterior probability density of Θφ(b3), . The colored lines indicate the distribution with the highest posterior probability , and the mean distribution E[Θφ], for the individual probability densities, as well as the true parameter distribution Θtrue. The colored regions indicate the 80%, 90%, 95%, and 99% Bayesian confidence intervals of the parameter distribution Θφ.
Hasenauer et al. BMC Bioinformatics 2011 12:125 doi:10.1186/1471-2105-12-125